Are you interested in buying in a home in 2018 for worthwhile investment?
The year of 2018 is an excellent year to buy a home in the United States, but there are several factors to consider.
Additionally, there may be variation based on your geographic location, which is important to consider in your search this year.
Overall, housing prices continue to rise this year, as they have over the past few. But, there are some interesting trends to keep an eye on.
This way, you can pinpoint the exact time you would like to jump headfirst into homeownership, knowing what is likely to come.
Check out these six real estate trends to consider if you’d like to purchase a home in 2018.
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1. Home Sales Could Rise
The sales of new homes are expected by the market to rise to a median of 7%, to 653,500 brand-new, built homes.
However, the sales of existing homes are expected to rise more moderately, with the median estimate being they will rise 2.5%, to 5.6 million units.
Based on current market research, the Southern states are predicted to show the most growth in 2018, particularly in Dallas, Tulsa, Little Rock, and Charlotte.
Meridian, Idaho is another great area to consider purchasing a home in 2018, with an abundance of houses on the market. This site is a great resource for the Idaho market.
The growth of these markets is likely due to the decreased regulation, as well as the cities having strong local economies.
2. More Homes Are For Sale
Overall, there are more homes for sale this year in terms of real estate trends. However, home buyers are still struggling to find houses for sale for the most part.
Essentially, there is still more demand than there is supply this year. There are many potential explanations for this, the first being that baby boomers are generally staying in their homes rather than downsizing.
As well, investors that purchased homes after the housing crisis may not be selling their properties because the profit margin is higher for them as landlords.
Lastly, as for new houses, home builders often opt for more expensive new builds rather than smaller ones in order to make a higher profit.
However, experts predict that supply will pick up sometime in late 2018, so don’t fret if you feel there aren’t enough options on the market.
3. Mortgage Rates Increase
Unfortunately for many home buyers, one real estate trend to note is that mortgage rates continue to increase in 2018.
The data provider CoreLogic averaged six key predictions for mortgage rates in 2018 and averaged a 30-year fixed will be at 4.7% in December 2018.
As a point of comparison, in November 2017, the 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.07%.
Notably, this is the highest mortgage rates have been for seven years, since 2011.
But, mortgage rates are known to be difficult to predict, so this projection may end up faltering, but time will tell.
4. Home Prices Decelerate
The best real estate trend for first-time home-buyers is likely the slowdown of appreciation on homes, for the first time in a few years.
In 2016, prices rose 6.3%, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency. It followed a similar trend into 2017.
However, in 2018, the median forecast among six different industry and lender groups is for a 4.1% increase in appreciation on existing home prices in the United States.
This deceleration of value may be because of new homes being built in 2018, which based off of current building permit applications, is expected to rise 8% this year.
5. Affordability Declines
With both mortgage rates and home prices on the rise in 2018, one real estate trend is the decline of affordability.
The combination of the rise of mortgage prices to 4.7% and 4.1% for the median price of existing homes rises could markedly increase the amount paid each month for families.
However, because many people air on the side of caution in terms of purchasing a home within their budget, they will likely still have some wiggle room to pay slightly more.
6. Tax Reform Impacts Market
The tax reform preserves the old capital gains exclusion. However, the mortgage interest tax deduction is going to be dealt with differently beginning next year.
In filing for the fiscal year of 2018, the new law reduces the maximum amount of mortgage debt when you acquire a first or second residence, which you can claim itemized interest expense deductions.
These range from $1 million for married couples, to $750,000 for married couples.
Additionally, the new tax law will limit your deduction for state and local income and property taxes to a combined total of $10,000 for married couples.
Real Estate Trends to Watch in 2018
Overall, 2018 is still a great year to purchase a home, whether you are looking for an investment property or a humble abode for your family.
It is important to consider how mortgage rates may change, as well as the rate of appreciation on existing homes.
The consistent flow of new homes on the market will also begin to have a larger effect as these begin to sell more. This may prompt more people to enter the real estate work force which will increase the need for a quality real estate practice test exam.
Deciding if a new home is a right option for you will greatly depend on the market you are exploring, as well as your individual preferences.
Lastly, in making your investment, consider how the new tax reform will impact your filing and deductions in 2019.
These deductions could affect how affordable a home is for you, or if simply would not be feasible. Buy a home that is within your means, and leave yourself some wiggle room for future fluctuations in rates.
For more financial information, check out our post on three mistakes people with debts should avoid making.